I'm curious to know peoples opinions of Dark Knight as an Oscar contender. Maybe its just me being a curmudgeon but after hearing all of these 16 year olds on facebook petitioning for it to win everything I had to take the other side. Great Film or great movie? I dunno.
I would be hugely surprised if
The Dark Knight was nominated for Best Picture. I kinda want it to happen, both because it was one of the best movies I saw last year, and because I think the fallout from the nomination would be fun to watch. People from both sides of the argument would be losing their shit. Anyways, I think it's certainly more deserving of a nomination than that snooze
Benjamin Button.
I do think Christopher Nolan will be nominated for Best Director, however, and there is a slim possibility for a Best Adapted Screenplay nomination. Ledger will be nominated, but I don't think he'll win. It'll get a ton of technical nominations; I think it has a good shot at Cinematography and Original Score.
As for Best Picture, I think the nominees will be something like this:
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
MILK
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
FROST/NIXON
DOUBT
Maybe
Revolutionary Road or
Gran Torino will make the cut over
Doubt, but the first four are pretty much locks. I think
Milk will win; if ever a movie came out at (almost) the right time, it was that one. Plus, I think the Academy needs to save face for not giving the award to
Brokebank Mountain a few years ago.
I also predict that, in the future, we won't have all these crazy hangups about sex, man. And there will be three-sided tape. I'll see you there!